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FA Cup · England
Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Eastleigh host Brentwood Town in the FA Cup (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Eastleigh 3–2 Brentwood Town.
Going into the match, Eastleigh had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 16. Brentwood Town had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Eastleigh's last 10 and 8 of Brentwood Town's last 10; 4 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Eastleigh averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.55 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Brentwood Town averaged 1.57 scored and 1.86 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.57 goals from Eastleigh and 1.79 from Brentwood Town. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 42%, against 73%, 15% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Eastleigh (green) and Brentwood Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastleigh | LLDLW | 0.90 | 1.60 | 70% | 40% |
| Brentwood Town | LWWDW | 2.30 | 1.80 | 80% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Eastleigh Win | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.63 |
| Eastleigh 1st Half Win | 56% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.71 |
| Eastleigh HT & FT | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.71 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Altrincham vs United of Manchester · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Barrow vs Gloucester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Barrow Win @ 1.42 · FT 0–0 - Boreham Wood vs Woking · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Boreham Wood Win @ 1.45 - Boston United vs Scunthorpe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - Carlisle vs Tamworth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Chesham United vs Forest Green · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chorley vs Worcester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Dover vs Dorking Wanderers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - FC Halifax Town vs South Shields · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 · FT 3–2 - Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Harborough Town Win @ 1.67 - Hartlepool vs Marine · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65