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FA Cup · England
Boston United vs Scunthorpe prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Boston United host Scunthorpe in the FA Cup (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 59% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Boston United 1–3 Scunthorpe.
Going into the match, Boston United had won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 24. Scunthorpe had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Boston United's last 10 and 5 of Scunthorpe's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Boston United averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.53 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Scunthorpe averaged 1.71 scored and 1.79 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.28 goals from Boston United and 1.79 from Scunthorpe. From that it rates a home win at 26%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 49%, against 41%, 26% and 33% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Boston United (green) and Scunthorpe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston United | LLLDL | 1.40 | 2.40 | 70% | 60% |
| Scunthorpe | DLLWL | 1.30 | 1.80 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 76% | 1.21 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 62% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Altrincham vs United of Manchester · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Barrow vs Gloucester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Barrow Win @ 1.42 · FT 0–0 - Boreham Wood vs Woking · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Boreham Wood Win @ 1.45 - Carlisle vs Tamworth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Chesham United vs Forest Green · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chorley vs Worcester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Dover vs Dorking Wanderers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - FC Halifax Town vs South Shields · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 · FT 3–2 - Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Harborough Town Win @ 1.67 - Hartlepool vs Marine · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65