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FA Cup · England
Barrow vs Gloucester City prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Barrow host Gloucester City in the FA Cup (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Barrow Win — Barrow to win. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Barrow 0–0 Gloucester City.
Going into the match, Barrow had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 10. Gloucester City had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Barrow's last 10 and 7 of Gloucester City's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Barrow averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Gloucester City averaged 2.15 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Barrow and 0.90 from Gloucester City. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 19%, against 63%, 22% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Barrow (green) and Gloucester City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrow | WWWWW | 1.90 | 1.00 | 60% | 70% |
| Gloucester City | WWDWL | 2.10 | 1.20 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.26 |
| Barrow Win | 66% | 1.42 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 62% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.77 |
| Barrow HT & FT | 45% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Altrincham vs United of Manchester · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Boreham Wood vs Woking · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Boreham Wood Win @ 1.45 - Boston United vs Scunthorpe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - Carlisle vs Tamworth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Chesham United vs Forest Green · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chorley vs Worcester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Dover vs Dorking Wanderers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - FC Halifax Town vs South Shields · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 · FT 3–2 - Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Harborough Town Win @ 1.67 - Hartlepool vs Marine · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65