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FA Cup · England
Altrincham vs United of Manchester prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Altrincham host United of Manchester in the FA Cup (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Altrincham 0–0 United of Manchester.
Going into the match, Altrincham had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 14. United of Manchester had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of Altrincham's last 10 and 7 of United of Manchester's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Altrincham averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.30 conceded across 10 matches; away from home United of Manchester averaged 1.80 scored and 1.53 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.28 goals from Altrincham and 1.20 from United of Manchester. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 18%, against 67%, 20% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Altrincham (green) and United of Manchester (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Altrincham | WLWWW | 1.90 | 1.40 | 80% | 90% |
| United of Manchester | DDLWL | 2.40 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.21 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.23 |
| Altrincham Win | 68% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 62% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.64 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 55% | 1.67 |
| Altrincham HT & FT | 49% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Barrow vs Gloucester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Barrow Win @ 1.42 · FT 0–0 - Boreham Wood vs Woking · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Boreham Wood Win @ 1.45 - Boston United vs Scunthorpe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - Carlisle vs Tamworth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Chesham United vs Forest Green · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chorley vs Worcester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Dover vs Dorking Wanderers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - FC Halifax Town vs South Shields · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 · FT 3–2 - Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Harborough Town Win @ 1.67 - Hartlepool vs Marine · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65