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FA Cup · England
Chesham United vs Forest Green prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Chesham United host Forest Green in the FA Cup (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Chesham United 0–0 Forest Green.
Going into the match, Chesham United had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 22. Forest Green had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Chesham United's last 10 and 6 of Forest Green's last 10; 9 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Chesham United averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Forest Green averaged 1.44 scored and 1.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.18 goals from Chesham United and 2.27 from Forest Green. From that it rates a home win at 38%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 41%, against 23%, 24% and 53% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Chesham United (green) and Forest Green (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesham United | LWLWW | 2.50 | 2.20 | 60% | 90% |
| Forest Green | LDDLD | 1.40 | 1.90 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.47 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 62% | 1.48 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.64 |
| Forest Green Win | 53% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Altrincham vs United of Manchester · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Barrow vs Gloucester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Barrow Win @ 1.42 · FT 0–0 - Boreham Wood vs Woking · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Boreham Wood Win @ 1.45 - Boston United vs Scunthorpe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - Carlisle vs Tamworth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Chorley vs Worcester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Dover vs Dorking Wanderers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - FC Halifax Town vs South Shields · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 · FT 3–2 - Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Harborough Town Win @ 1.67 - Hartlepool vs Marine · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65