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FA Cup · England
Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Harborough Town host Spennymoor Town in the FA Cup (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Harborough Town Win — Harborough Town to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Harborough Town 3–1 Spennymoor Town.
Going into the match, Harborough Town had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12. Spennymoor Town had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Harborough Town's last 10 and 9 of Spennymoor Town's last 10; 5 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Harborough Town averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Spennymoor Town averaged 1.50 scored and 1.63 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.27 goals from Harborough Town and 1.37 from Spennymoor Town. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 22%, against 54%, 24% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Harborough Town (green) and Spennymoor Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harborough Town | WWLWD | 1.20 | 1.20 | 40% | 50% |
| Spennymoor Town | LWDWD | 1.70 | 1.90 | 90% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Harborough Town Win | 55% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 53% | 1.71 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
| Harborough Town HT & FT | 36% | 2.60 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Altrincham vs United of Manchester · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Barrow vs Gloucester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Barrow Win @ 1.42 · FT 0–0 - Boreham Wood vs Woking · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Boreham Wood Win @ 1.45 - Boston United vs Scunthorpe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - Carlisle vs Tamworth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Chesham United vs Forest Green · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chorley vs Worcester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Dover vs Dorking Wanderers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - FC Halifax Town vs South Shields · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 · FT 3–2 - Hartlepool vs Marine · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65