Home › League stats › FA Cup › AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe
FA Cup · England
AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AFC Rushden & Diamonds host Morecambe in the FA Cup (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2–1 Morecambe.
Going into the match, AFC Rushden & Diamonds had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 8 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Morecambe had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of AFC Rushden & Diamonds's last 8 and 5 of Morecambe's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AFC Rushden & Diamonds averaged 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Morecambe averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 9.
The 1X2 prices imply about 24% for AFC Rushden & Diamonds, 23% for the draw and 53% for Morecambe once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AFC Rushden & Diamonds (green) and Morecambe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds | WWWLL | 1.75 | 1.50 | 88% | 88% |
| Morecambe | LWDWW | 1.90 | 0.80 | 50% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.25 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 62% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.57 |
| Morecambe Win | 55% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- Altrincham vs United of Manchester · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Barrow vs Gloucester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Barrow Win @ 1.42 · FT 0–0 - Boreham Wood vs Woking · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Boreham Wood Win @ 1.45 - Boston United vs Scunthorpe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - Carlisle vs Tamworth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Chesham United vs Forest Green · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chorley vs Worcester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Dover vs Dorking Wanderers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - FC Halifax Town vs South Shields · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 · FT 3–2 - Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Harborough Town Win @ 1.67 - Hartlepool vs Marine · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65