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Championship · England

Wolves vs Cardiff prediction and preview

31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 12Odds 1.25Market probability 78%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Wolves host Cardiff in the Championship (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Wolves had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Cardiff had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Wolves's last 10 and 7 of Cardiff's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wolves averaged 1.58 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Cardiff averaged 2.27 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.83 goals from Wolves and 1.31 from Cardiff. From that it rates a home win at 49%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 27%, against 56%, 24% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Wolves (green) and Cardiff (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form41% – 59%
Attack29% – 71%
Defence50% – 50%
Head-to-head60% – 40%
Goals62% – 38%
Overall strength51% – 48%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
WolvesWDWLL1.101.3050%40%
CardiffWDWLW1.601.4070%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1278%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals76%1.22
BTTS 1st Half - No73%1.28
Over 2.5 Goals64%1.50
BTTS Yes63%1.50
Wolves Win57%1.67
Under 3.5 Goals57%1.67
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals56%1.67

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

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