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Middlesbrough vs Charlton prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Middlesbrough host Charlton in the Championship (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Middlesbrough Win — Middlesbrough to win. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Middlesbrough had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 16. Charlton had won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Middlesbrough's last 10 and 5 of Charlton's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Middlesbrough averaged 2.08 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Charlton averaged 1.06 scored and 1.81 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.27 goals from Middlesbrough and 0.83 from Charlton. From that it rates a home win at 69%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 11%, against 75%, 16% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Middlesbrough (green) and Charlton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | WDWWD | 2.10 | 1.60 | 70% | 70% |
| Charlton | LLDDL | 0.70 | 1.60 | 50% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Middlesbrough Win | 77% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| Middlesbrough 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.62 |
| Middlesbrough HT & FT | 55% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Bolton vs Bristol City · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Bolton +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.21 - Burnley vs Portsmouth · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Millwall vs Derby · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Southampton vs QPR · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Swansea vs Blackburn · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - West Ham vs West Brom · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - Wolves vs Cardiff · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 - Lincoln vs Birmingham · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Norwich vs Watford · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - Stoke City vs Preston · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36