Home › League stats › Championship › Bolton vs Bristol City
Championship · England
Bolton vs Bristol City prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Toughsheet Community Stadium, Horwich
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bolton host Bristol City in the Championship (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Bolton +1.5 Asian Handicap — Bolton +1.5 Asian Handicap. It was published at odds of 1.21, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Bolton had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 22. Bristol City had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Bolton's last 10 and 4 of Bristol City's last 10; 7 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bolton averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.54 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Bristol City averaged 1.43 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.27 goals from Bolton and 0.93 from Bristol City. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 26%, against 30%, 29% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bolton (green) and Bristol City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bolton | LDWLW | 1.40 | 2.20 | 60% | 70% |
| Bristol City | DLLDW | 1.00 | 1.00 | 40% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Burnley vs Portsmouth · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Middlesbrough vs Charlton · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Middlesbrough Win @ 1.25 - Millwall vs Derby · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Southampton vs QPR · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Swansea vs Blackburn · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - West Ham vs West Brom · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - Wolves vs Cardiff · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 - Lincoln vs Birmingham · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Norwich vs Watford · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - Stoke City vs Preston · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36