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Championship · England
Swansea vs Blackburn prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Swansea host Blackburn in the Championship (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Swansea had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Blackburn had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 15 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Swansea's last 10 and 7 of Blackburn's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Swansea averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Blackburn averaged 1.23 scored and 1.38 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.18 goals from Swansea and 1.19 from Blackburn. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 35%, against 54%, 27% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Swansea (green) and Blackburn (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Swansea Win | 55% | 1.75 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Bolton vs Bristol City · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Bolton +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.21 - Burnley vs Portsmouth · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Middlesbrough vs Charlton · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Middlesbrough Win @ 1.25 - Millwall vs Derby · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Southampton vs QPR · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - West Ham vs West Brom · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - Wolves vs Cardiff · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 - Lincoln vs Birmingham · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Norwich vs Watford · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - Stoke City vs Preston · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36