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Championship · England
Stoke City vs Preston prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Stoke City host Preston in the Championship (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Stoke City had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 11. Preston had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Stoke City's last 10 and 6 of Preston's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Stoke City averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Preston averaged 1.08 scored and 2.42 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.23 goals from Stoke City and 0.74 from Preston. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 10%, against 54%, 25% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Stoke City (green) and Preston (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | DWLWW | 1.60 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Preston | DLLLD | 0.80 | 2.00 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Stoke City Win | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Bolton vs Bristol City · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Bolton +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.21 - Burnley vs Portsmouth · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Middlesbrough vs Charlton · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Middlesbrough Win @ 1.25 - Millwall vs Derby · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Southampton vs QPR · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Swansea vs Blackburn · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - West Ham vs West Brom · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - Wolves vs Cardiff · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 - Lincoln vs Birmingham · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Norwich vs Watford · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22