Home › League stats › Championship › Lincoln vs Birmingham
Championship · England
Lincoln vs Birmingham prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Sincil Bank, Lincoln
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lincoln host Birmingham in the Championship (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Lincoln had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 19. Birmingham had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Lincoln's last 10 and 6 of Birmingham's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lincoln averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Birmingham averaged 1.25 scored and 0.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.88 goals from Lincoln and 1.86 from Birmingham. From that it rates a home win at 16%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 59%, against 28%, 27% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lincoln (green) and Birmingham (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln | WDLLL | 1.00 | 1.90 | 40% | 60% |
| Birmingham | LWWWD | 1.80 | 1.00 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Bolton vs Bristol City · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Bolton +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.21 - Burnley vs Portsmouth · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Middlesbrough vs Charlton · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Middlesbrough Win @ 1.25 - Millwall vs Derby · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Southampton vs QPR · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Swansea vs Blackburn · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - West Ham vs West Brom · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - Wolves vs Cardiff · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 - Norwich vs Watford · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - Stoke City vs Preston · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36