Home › League stats › Championship › Norwich vs Watford
Championship · England
Norwich vs Watford prediction and preview
31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Carrow Road, Norwich
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Norwich host Watford in the Championship (England) on 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 79% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Norwich had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 21. Watford had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Norwich's last 10 and 4 of Watford's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Norwich averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Watford averaged 0.60 scored and 2.30 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.89 goals from Norwich and 0.86 from Watford. From that it rates a home win at 61%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 15%, against 61%, 22% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Norwich (green) and Watford (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Norwich Win | 63% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Championship matches that day
- Bolton vs Bristol City · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Bolton +1.5 Asian Handicap @ 1.21 - Burnley vs Portsmouth · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Middlesbrough vs Charlton · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Middlesbrough Win @ 1.25 - Millwall vs Derby · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Southampton vs QPR · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Swansea vs Blackburn · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - West Ham vs West Brom · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.22 - Wolves vs Cardiff · 31 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.25 - Lincoln vs Birmingham · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Stoke City vs Preston · 31 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC · Championship
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36