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FA Cup · England
Wimborne Town vs Chelmsford City prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wimborne Town host Chelmsford City in the FA Cup (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.68, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wimborne Town 1–0 Chelmsford City.
Going into the match, Wimborne Town had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 9. Chelmsford City had won 4, drawn 6 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Wimborne Town's last 10 and 5 of Chelmsford City's last 10; 5 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wimborne Town averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Chelmsford City averaged 2.00 scored and 0.92 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.90 goals from Wimborne Town and 0.86 from Chelmsford City. From that it rates a home win at 33%, a draw at 36% and an away win at 31%, against 26%, 24% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 36%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wimborne Town (green) and Chelmsford City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wimborne Town | LWWWW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 60% | 50% |
| Chelmsford City | WWDWD | 1.60 | 0.70 | 50% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 62% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.68 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Chelmsford City Win | 50% | 1.83 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 48% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Altrincham vs United of Manchester · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Barrow vs Gloucester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Barrow Win @ 1.42 · FT 0–0 - Boreham Wood vs Woking · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Boreham Wood Win @ 1.45 - Boston United vs Scunthorpe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - Carlisle vs Tamworth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Chesham United vs Forest Green · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chorley vs Worcester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Dover vs Dorking Wanderers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - FC Halifax Town vs South Shields · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 · FT 3–2 - Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Harborough Town Win @ 1.67