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FA Cup · England
Wealdstone vs Worthing prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Wealdstone host Worthing in the FA Cup (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.46, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Wealdstone 3–0 Worthing.
Going into the match, Wealdstone had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 17. Worthing had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Wealdstone's last 10 and 7 of Worthing's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Wealdstone averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Worthing averaged 1.91 scored and 1.45 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.31 goals from Wealdstone and 1.41 from Worthing. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 38%, against 37%, 26% and 37% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Wealdstone (green) and Worthing (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wealdstone | LLDWL | 1.90 | 1.70 | 50% | 70% |
| Worthing | LWWDW | 1.90 | 1.00 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Aug 2026 · Worthing 1–0 Wealdstone
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.26 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.46 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 62% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.59 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 40% | 2.35 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Altrincham vs United of Manchester · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Barrow vs Gloucester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Barrow Win @ 1.42 · FT 0–0 - Boreham Wood vs Woking · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Boreham Wood Win @ 1.45 - Boston United vs Scunthorpe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - Carlisle vs Tamworth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Chesham United vs Forest Green · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chorley vs Worcester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Dover vs Dorking Wanderers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - FC Halifax Town vs South Shields · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 · FT 3–2 - Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Harborough Town Win @ 1.67