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Vitoria Setubal vs UD da Serra prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsNo priceFinal score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Vitoria Setubal host UD da Serra in the Taça de Portugal (Portugal) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Vitoria Setubal 1–1 UD da Serra.

Going into the match, Vitoria Setubal had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. UD da Serra had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 9, with 22 scored and 13 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Vitoria Setubal's last 6 and 8 of UD da Serra's last 9; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vitoria Setubal averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 3 matches; away from home UD da Serra averaged 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded across 5.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from Vitoria Setubal and 1.96 from UD da Serra. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 49%. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Vitoria Setubal (green) and UD da Serra (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form33% – 67%
Attack18% – 82%
Defence100% – 0%
Overall strength25% – 74%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Vitoria SetubalDWDWL1.501.6767%50%
UD da SerraWWDDW2.441.4489%78%

Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other Taça de Portugal matches that day