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Fátima vs Academico Viseu prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fátima host Academico Viseu in the Taça de Portugal (Portugal) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fátima 1–0 Academico Viseu.
Going into the match, Fátima had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 9 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 11. Academico Viseu had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Fátima's last 9 and 5 of Academico Viseu's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fátima averaged 2.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home Academico Viseu averaged 1.56 scored and 1.22 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Fátima and 1.54 from Academico Viseu. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 45%, against 10%, 20% and 70% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fátima (green) and Academico Viseu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fátima | LWLLW | 2.33 | 1.22 | 56% | 78% |
| Academico Viseu | WWWWL | 1.30 | 1.30 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Academico Viseu Win | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.53 |
| Academico Viseu HT & FT | 61% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 55% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.57 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Taça de Portugal matches that day
- CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca · 18 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Arouca Win @ 1.50 · FT 3–3 - Paredes vs Famalicao · 18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 1–0 - Brito vs Vitória de Sernache · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–1 - Alpendorada vs Casa Pia · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals · FT 0–1 - Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.33 · FT 1–0 - Lusitânia Lourosa vs Os Limianos · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 - Mafra vs Santa Clara · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–2 - Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Salgueiros vs Estoril · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Tondela vs Alverca · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 0–0 - Vitoria Setubal vs UD da Serra · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals