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Taça de Portugal · Portugal

Alpendorada vs Casa Pia prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsNo priceFinal score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Alpendorada host Casa Pia in the Taça de Portugal (Portugal) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. No bookmaker price was available for this market when the prediction was published, so no percentage is shown.

Final score: Alpendorada 0–1 Casa Pia.

Going into the match, Alpendorada had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 9 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 12. Casa Pia had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 8 of their last 10, with 5 scored and 24 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Alpendorada's last 9 and 3 of Casa Pia's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Alpendorada averaged 2.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 4 matches; away from home Casa Pia averaged 0.82 scored and 1.55 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Alpendorada and 0.98 from Casa Pia. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 31% and an away win at 28%. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Alpendorada (green) and Casa Pia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form100% – 0%
Attack100% – 0%
Defence0% – 100%
Head-to-head0% – 100%
Goals0% – 100%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
AlpendoradaDWLLD1.441.3356%56%
Casa PiaLWLDL0.502.4030%40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other Taça de Portugal matches that day