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Taça de Portugal · Portugal
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Os Limianos prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Lusitânia Lourosa host Os Limianos in the Taça de Portugal (Portugal) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Lusitânia Lourosa 2–1 Os Limianos.
Going into the match, Lusitânia Lourosa had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 12. Os Limianos had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 9, with 18 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Lusitânia Lourosa's last 10 and 7 of Os Limianos's last 9; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lusitânia Lourosa averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.27 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Os Limianos averaged 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.77 goals from Lusitânia Lourosa and 1.39 from Os Limianos. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 29%, against 80%, 15% and 5% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 61%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Lusitânia Lourosa (green) and Os Limianos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lusitânia Lourosa | DWWWW | 1.70 | 1.20 | 60% | 50% |
| Os Limianos | WDWWW | 2.00 | 1.22 | 78% | 67% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.31 |
| BTTS No | 65% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.43 |
| Lusitânia Lourosa 1st Half Win | 62% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.62 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Lusitânia Lourosa HT & FT | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Taça de Portugal matches that day
- CF Os Belenenses vs Arouca · 18 Oct 2026, 18:45 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Arouca Win @ 1.50 · FT 3–3 - Paredes vs Famalicao · 18 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 1–0 - Brito vs Vitória de Sernache · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–1 - Fátima vs Academico Viseu · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 1–0 - Alpendorada vs Casa Pia · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals · FT 0–1 - Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Double Chance 1X @ 1.33 · FT 1–0 - Mafra vs Santa Clara · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–2 - Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Double Chance X2 - Salgueiros vs Estoril · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Tondela vs Alverca · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 · FT 0–0 - Vitoria Setubal vs UD da Serra · 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals