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Taça de Portugal · Portugal

Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe prediction and preview

18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance 1XOdds 1.33Market probability 72%Final score 1–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Felgueiras 1932 host Fafe in the Taça de Portugal (Portugal) on 18 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Felgueiras 1932 to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Felgueiras 1932 1–0 Fafe.

Going into the match, Felgueiras 1932 had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Fafe had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 6 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Felgueiras 1932's last 10 and 4 of Fafe's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Felgueiras 1932 averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Fafe averaged 1.36 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.11 goals from Felgueiras 1932 and 1.01 from Fafe. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 31%, against 44%, 28% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Felgueiras 1932 (green) and Fafe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form33% – 67%
Attack29% – 71%
Head-to-head93% – 7%
Goals80% – 20%
Overall strength58% – 41%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Felgueiras 1932LWLLW0.900.8050%30%
FafeDWLWD1.700.6040%50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

More on this match

Other Taça de Portugal matches that day