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Taça de Portugal · Portugal
Vianense vs Leixoes prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Vianense host Leixoes in the Taça de Portugal (Portugal) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Leixoes Win — Leixoes to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Vianense 1–0 Leixoes.
Going into the match, Vianense had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 12. Leixoes had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Vianense's last 10 and 5 of Leixoes's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Vianense averaged 3.13 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Leixoes averaged 2.33 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.14 goals from Vianense and 2.05 from Leixoes. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 38%, against 17%, 22% and 61% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 38%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Vianense (green) and Leixoes (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 82% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| Leixoes Win | 59% | 1.48 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Taça de Portugal matches that day
- Academica vs Amarante · 17 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.86 · FT 3–2 - Penafiel vs Leça · 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–1 - Louletano vs Rio Ave · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - AVS vs Moreirense · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - União de Leiria vs Bragança · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Fazendense vs Estrela · 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Atlético CP vs Vizela · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.25 · FT 1–0 - Sanjoanense vs Nacional · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.67 - Farense vs AD Marco 09 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Florgrade vs Portimonense · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–2