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Atlético CP vs Vizela prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Atlético CP host Vizela in the Taça de Portugal (Portugal) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Vizela to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Atlético CP 1–0 Vizela.
Going into the match, Atlético CP had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 9. Vizela had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Atlético CP's last 10 and 2 of Vizela's last 10; 6 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Atlético CP averaged 2.00 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Vizela averaged 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.85 goals from Atlético CP and 0.68 from Vizela. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 12%, against 26%, 26% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 36%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Atlético CP (green) and Vizela (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético CP | WWLWW | 2.00 | 0.90 | 40% | 60% |
| Vizela | LWDWW | 1.00 | 1.00 | 20% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.80 |
| Vizela Win | 47% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Taça de Portugal matches that day
- Academica vs Amarante · 17 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.86 · FT 3–2 - Penafiel vs Leça · 17 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–1 - Louletano vs Rio Ave · 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - AVS vs Moreirense · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 - União de Leiria vs Bragança · 17 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.60 - Fazendense vs Estrela · 17 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Sanjoanense vs Nacional · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.67 - Farense vs AD Marco 09 · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Vianense vs Leixoes · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Leixoes Win @ 1.48 - Florgrade vs Portimonense · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Taça de Portugal
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–2