Home › League stats › FA Cup › Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch
FA Cup · England
Uxbridge vs AFC Hornchurch prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Uxbridge host AFC Hornchurch in the FA Cup (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Uxbridge 0–4 AFC Hornchurch.
Going into the match, Uxbridge had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 6. AFC Hornchurch had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Uxbridge's last 10 and 2 of AFC Hornchurch's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Uxbridge averaged 2.55 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home AFC Hornchurch averaged 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from Uxbridge and 1.12 from AFC Hornchurch. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 28%, against 20%, 21% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Uxbridge (green) and AFC Hornchurch (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uxbridge | WWWWW | 2.00 | 0.60 | 40% | 60% |
| AFC Hornchurch | WDLWL | 0.90 | 1.30 | 20% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 74% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| AFC Hornchurch Win | 60% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.58 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 57% | 1.60 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.69 |
| AFC Hornchurch HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Altrincham vs United of Manchester · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Barrow vs Gloucester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Barrow Win @ 1.42 · FT 0–0 - Boreham Wood vs Woking · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Boreham Wood Win @ 1.45 - Boston United vs Scunthorpe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - Carlisle vs Tamworth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Chesham United vs Forest Green · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chorley vs Worcester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Dover vs Dorking Wanderers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - FC Halifax Town vs South Shields · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 · FT 3–2 - Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Harborough Town Win @ 1.67