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FA Cup · England
Plymouth Parkway vs Chertsey Town prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Plymouth Parkway host Chertsey Town in the FA Cup (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.42, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Plymouth Parkway 2–0 Chertsey Town.
Going into the match, Plymouth Parkway had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 11. Chertsey Town had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Plymouth Parkway's last 10 and 8 of Chertsey Town's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Plymouth Parkway averaged 2.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Chertsey Town averaged 2.00 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.22 goals from Plymouth Parkway and 1.38 from Chertsey Town. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 23%, against 47%, 24% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Plymouth Parkway (green) and Chertsey Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plymouth Parkway | WLWDL | 1.80 | 1.10 | 60% | 60% |
| Chertsey Town | DDWLD | 2.10 | 1.40 | 80% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 75% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.42 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.70 |
| Plymouth Parkway Win | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Altrincham vs United of Manchester · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Barrow vs Gloucester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Barrow Win @ 1.42 · FT 0–0 - Boreham Wood vs Woking · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Boreham Wood Win @ 1.45 - Boston United vs Scunthorpe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - Carlisle vs Tamworth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Chesham United vs Forest Green · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chorley vs Worcester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Dover vs Dorking Wanderers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - FC Halifax Town vs South Shields · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 · FT 3–2 - Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Harborough Town Win @ 1.67