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FA Cup · England
Leiston vs Guiseley AFC prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Leiston host Guiseley AFC in the FA Cup (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.52, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Leiston 0–3 Guiseley AFC.
Going into the match, Leiston had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 15. Guiseley AFC had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Leiston's last 10 and 5 of Guiseley AFC's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Leiston averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Guiseley AFC averaged 2.00 scored and 0.69 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.15 goals from Leiston and 1.83 from Guiseley AFC. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 52%, against 26%, 25% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Leiston (green) and Guiseley AFC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leiston | DWLLL | 1.70 | 1.50 | 50% | 70% |
| Guiseley AFC | WWWLW | 2.40 | 0.80 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 62% | 1.48 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.52 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.58 |
| Guiseley AFC Win | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Altrincham vs United of Manchester · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Barrow vs Gloucester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Barrow Win @ 1.42 · FT 0–0 - Boreham Wood vs Woking · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Boreham Wood Win @ 1.45 - Boston United vs Scunthorpe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - Carlisle vs Tamworth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Chesham United vs Forest Green · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chorley vs Worcester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Dover vs Dorking Wanderers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - FC Halifax Town vs South Shields · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 · FT 3–2 - Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Harborough Town Win @ 1.67