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Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction and preview

15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.44Market probability 64%Final score 1–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Heart Of Midlothian host FC Nordsjaelland in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Heart Of Midlothian 1–1 FC Nordsjaelland.

Going into the match, Heart Of Midlothian had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 11. FC Nordsjaelland had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 14 conceded.

Both teams scored in 8 of Heart Of Midlothian's last 10 and 4 of FC Nordsjaelland's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Heart Of Midlothian averaged 2.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FC Nordsjaelland averaged 1.63 scored and 1.50 conceded across 16.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from Heart Of Midlothian and 1.36 from FC Nordsjaelland. From that it rates a home win at 46%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 29%, against 30%, 25% and 45% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Heart Of Midlothian (green) and FC Nordsjaelland (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form21% – 79%
Attack23% – 77%
Defence33% – 67%
Overall strength27% – 73%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Heart Of MidlothianWDLWW2.601.1080%80%
FC NordsjaellandDLLWW1.701.4040%70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1275%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals75%1.25
BTTS 1st Half - No73%1.28
BTTS Yes64%1.44
Over 2.5 Goals61%1.53
Under 3.5 Goals59%1.57
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals58%1.62
FC Nordsjaelland Win44%2.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other UEFA Europa Conference League matches that day