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UEFA Europa Conference League · International
St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
St. Truiden host FC Iberia 1999 in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: St. Truiden 2–0 FC Iberia 1999.
Going into the match, St. Truiden had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 20. FC Iberia 1999 had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of St. Truiden's last 10 and 5 of FC Iberia 1999's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home St. Truiden averaged 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home FC Iberia 1999 averaged 1.50 scored and 1.50 conceded across 18.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.07 goals from St. Truiden and 0.81 from FC Iberia 1999. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 13%, against 75%, 17% and 8% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | LLLWL | 1.80 | 2.00 | 50% | 60% |
| FC Iberia 1999 | WLWWW | 1.10 | 1.30 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| St. Truiden Win | 74% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| St. Truiden 1st Half Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| St. Truiden HT & FT | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- St. Truiden form and statistics
- FC Iberia 1999 form and statistics
- UEFA Europa Conference League statistics
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