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UEFA Europa Conference League · International
Twente vs FC Thun prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Twente host FC Thun in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Twente Win — Twente to win. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Twente 1–0 FC Thun.
Going into the match, Twente had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 12. FC Thun had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 25 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Twente's last 10 and 6 of FC Thun's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Twente averaged 2.23 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home FC Thun averaged 2.08 scored and 2.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.58 goals from Twente and 0.89 from FC Thun. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 17% and an away win at 10%, against 78%, 13% and 9% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Twente (green) and FC Thun (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Twente Win | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Twente 1st Half Win | 60% | 1.53 |
| Twente HT & FT | 59% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa Conference League matches that day
- Atalanta vs Pafos · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 3–1 - Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.73 · FT 2–1 - Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.36 · FT 4–0 - FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 · FT 3–0 - SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 3–2 - Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 2–0 - CSKA Sofia vs Monaco · 15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland · 15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–1 - Gent vs Aarhus · 15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Gent Win @ 1.57 · FT 1–0 - HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax · 15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - KuPS vs Trabzonspor · 15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 2–4