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Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Egnatia Rrogozhinë host FC Midtjylland in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Egnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 FC Midtjylland.
Going into the match, Egnatia Rrogozhinë had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 10. FC Midtjylland had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 26 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Egnatia Rrogozhinë's last 10 and 6 of FC Midtjylland's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Egnatia Rrogozhinë averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FC Midtjylland averaged 2.13 scored and 0.69 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from Egnatia Rrogozhinë and 1.45 from FC Midtjylland. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 40%, against 16%, 22% and 62% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Egnatia Rrogozhinë (green) and FC Midtjylland (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egnatia Rrogozhinë | WWLWW | 2.00 | 1.00 | 70% | 70% |
| FC Midtjylland | WDWWD | 2.60 | 0.70 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| FC Midtjylland Win | 62% | 1.53 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Egnatia Rrogozhinë form and statistics
- FC Midtjylland form and statistics
- UEFA Europa Conference League statistics
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