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UEFA Europa Conference League · International
KuPS vs Trabzonspor prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
KuPS host Trabzonspor in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: KuPS 2–4 Trabzonspor.
Going into the match, KuPS had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Trabzonspor had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of KuPS's last 10 and 3 of Trabzonspor's last 10; 2 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home KuPS averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 18 matches; away from home Trabzonspor averaged 1.09 scored and 1.36 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from KuPS and 0.89 from Trabzonspor. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 26%, against 13%, 22% and 65% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 84%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between KuPS (green) and Trabzonspor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KuPS | LLWDD | 0.90 | 1.00 | 40% | 20% |
| Trabzonspor | WLWLW | 1.60 | 1.10 | 30% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 79% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Trabzonspor Win | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa Conference League matches that day
- Atalanta vs Pafos · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 3–1 - Brann vs Lincoln Red Imps FC · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.73 · FT 2–1 - Brighton vs Kauno Žalgiris · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.36 · FT 4–0 - FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Double Chance 12 @ 1.36 · FT 3–0 - SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 3–2 - Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.57 · FT 2–0 - Twente vs FC Thun · 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Twente Win @ 1.20 · FT 1–0 - CSKA Sofia vs Monaco · 15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–2 - Egnatia Rrogozhinë vs FC Midtjylland · 15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 1–1 - Gent vs Aarhus · 15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Gent Win @ 1.57 · FT 1–0 - HNK Hajduk Split vs Ajax · 15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1