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SC Freiburg vs FK Jablonec prediction and preview

15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 2.5 GoalsOdds 1.53Market probability 62%Final score 3–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

SC Freiburg host FK Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: SC Freiburg 3–2 FK Jablonec.

Going into the match, SC Freiburg had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 33 and conceding 9. FK Jablonec had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of SC Freiburg's last 10 and 3 of FK Jablonec's last 10; 9 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home SC Freiburg averaged 2.86 goals scored and 0.93 conceded across 14 matches; away from home FK Jablonec averaged 0.86 scored and 2.00 conceded across 14.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.87 goals from SC Freiburg and 0.95 from FK Jablonec. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 18%, against 76%, 16% and 8% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 54%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between SC Freiburg (green) and FK Jablonec (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form33% – 67%
Attack47% – 53%
Defence50% – 50%
Overall strength52% – 47%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
SC FreiburgWWDWW3.300.9070%90%
FK JablonecWWDLW0.900.9030%20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
SC Freiburg Win75%1.25
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals75%1.25
Over 2.5 Goals62%1.53
Under 3.5 Goals58%1.57
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals58%1.62
SC Freiburg HT & FT56%1.73
Under 9.5 Corners56%1.67
SC Freiburg 1st Half Win56%1.67

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other UEFA Europa Conference League matches that day