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UEFA Europa Conference League · International
FC Thun vs Heart Of Midlothian prediction and preview
5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · Stockhorn Arena, Thun
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Thun host Heart Of Midlothian in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FC Thun had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 20. Heart Of Midlothian had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC Thun's last 10 and 6 of Heart Of Midlothian's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Thun averaged 1.63 goals scored and 2.06 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Heart Of Midlothian averaged 1.29 scored and 2.00 conceded across 17.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from FC Thun and 2.05 from Heart Of Midlothian. From that it rates a home win at 32%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 45%, against 41%, 27% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Thun (green) and Heart Of Midlothian (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Thun | WLLDL | 1.60 | 2.00 | 60% | 50% |
| Heart Of Midlothian | LDWLL | 1.70 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- FC Thun form and statistics
- Heart Of Midlothian form and statistics
- UEFA Europa Conference League statistics
Other UEFA Europa Conference League matches that day
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Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Getafe vs Brighton · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
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Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
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Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.73 - St. Truiden vs Brann · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Twente vs Pafos · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Twente Win @ 1.30 - Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Aarhus vs SC Braga · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 3.5 Goals @ 1.91 - FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.40