Home › League stats › UEFA Europa Conference League › Riga vs FK Jablonec
UEFA Europa Conference League · International
Riga vs FK Jablonec prediction and preview
5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Skonto stadions, Riga
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Riga host FK Jablonec in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Riga had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 8. FK Jablonec had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Riga's last 10 and 4 of FK Jablonec's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Riga averaged 2.52 goals scored and 0.81 conceded across 21 matches; away from home FK Jablonec averaged 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Riga and 1.08 from FK Jablonec. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 25%, against 41%, 27% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Riga (green) and FK Jablonec (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga | DWDWD | 1.70 | 0.80 | 60% | 40% |
| FK Jablonec | LWDLL | 1.20 | 1.50 | 40% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa Conference League matches that day
- FC Copenhagen vs FC Iberia 1999 · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Getafe vs Brighton · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - FC Lugano vs Kauno Žalgiris · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: FC Lugano Win @ 1.20 - Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.65 - St. Truiden vs Brann · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 - Twente vs Pafos · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Twente Win @ 1.30 - Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Aarhus vs SC Braga · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 3.5 Goals @ 1.91 - FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.40 - KuPS vs Gent · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33