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UEFA Europa Conference League · International

Twente vs Pafos prediction and preview

5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · De Grolsch Veste, Enschede

The PunterPick prediction

Twente WinOdds 1.30Market probability 71%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Twente host Pafos in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Twente Win — Twente to win. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Twente had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 8. Pafos had won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 9 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of Twente's last 10 and 4 of Pafos's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Twente averaged 2.07 goals scored and 0.86 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Pafos averaged 1.33 scored and 1.22 conceded across 18.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.65 goals from Twente and 0.75 from Pafos. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 16%, against 73%, 16% and 12% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 58%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Twente (green) and Pafos (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form67% – 33%
Attack63% – 37%
Defence54% – 46%
Overall strength69% – 31%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
TwenteWWWLW2.600.8050%50%
PafosDDDDL0.900.9040%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
BTTS 1st Half - No77%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals76%1.22
Twente Win73%1.30
Over 2.5 Goals65%1.44
Under 3.5 Goals55%1.67
BTTS Yes54%1.73
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals54%1.73
Twente HT & FT53%1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other UEFA Europa Conference League matches that day