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Universitatea Craiova vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë prediction and preview

5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova

The PunterPick prediction

Under 3.5 GoalsOdds 1.44Market probability 66%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Universitatea Craiova host Egnatia Rrogozhinë in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Universitatea Craiova had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 4. Egnatia Rrogozhinë had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Universitatea Craiova's last 10 and 8 of Egnatia Rrogozhinë's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Universitatea Craiova averaged 2.37 goals scored and 0.74 conceded across 19 matches; away from home Egnatia Rrogozhinë averaged 1.65 scored and 1.41 conceded across 17.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.80 goals from Universitatea Craiova and 1.05 from Egnatia Rrogozhinë. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 21%, against 63%, 22% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Universitatea Craiova (green) and Egnatia Rrogozhinë (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form67% – 33%
Attack67% – 33%
Defence50% – 50%
Overall strength57% – 43%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Universitatea CraiovaWDWWW2.500.4040%50%
Egnatia RrogozhinëWWLDW1.601.0080%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1279%1.20
Over 1.5 Goals77%1.22
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals72%1.30
Under 3.5 Goals66%1.44
Universitatea Craiova Win64%1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals63%1.50
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.70
BTTS Yes51%1.83

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

Other UEFA Europa Conference League matches that day