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UEFA Europa Conference League · International
Getafe vs Brighton prediction and preview
5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Coliseum, Getafe
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Getafe host Brighton in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Getafe had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 19. Brighton had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Getafe's last 10 and 2 of Brighton's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Getafe averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.15 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Brighton averaged 1.58 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.62 goals from Getafe and 1.93 from Brighton. From that it rates a home win at 10%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 68%, against 15%, 25% and 60% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 75%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Getafe (green) and Brighton (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Brighton Win | 61% | 1.57 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa Conference League matches that day
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Published pick: Over 3.5 Goals @ 1.91 - FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.40 - KuPS vs Gent · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33