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UEFA Europa Conference League · International
Monaco vs FC Nordsjaelland prediction and preview
5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Stade Louis II, Monaco
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Monaco host FC Nordsjaelland in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Monaco had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 11. FC Nordsjaelland had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 17 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Monaco's last 10 and 6 of FC Nordsjaelland's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Monaco averaged 2.18 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home FC Nordsjaelland averaged 1.63 scored and 1.47 conceded across 19.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.61 goals from Monaco and 1.13 from FC Nordsjaelland. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 26%, against 65%, 19% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 52%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Monaco (green) and FC Nordsjaelland (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | LDWLW | 1.60 | 1.10 | 70% | 60% |
| FC Nordsjaelland | LWDDD | 1.40 | 1.70 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Monaco Win | 67% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Monaco form and statistics
- FC Nordsjaelland form and statistics
- UEFA Europa Conference League statistics
Other UEFA Europa Conference League matches that day
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Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.28 - Atalanta vs Kairat Almaty · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Over 3.5 Goals @ 1.91 - FK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.40 - KuPS vs Gent · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33