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UEFA Europa Conference League · International
Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia prediction and preview
5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Panathinaikos host CSKA Sofia in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.65, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Panathinaikos had won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 5. CSKA Sofia had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 21 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Panathinaikos's last 10 and 6 of CSKA Sofia's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Panathinaikos averaged 2.07 goals scored and 0.93 conceded across 15 matches; away from home CSKA Sofia averaged 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded across 20.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.76 goals from Panathinaikos and 0.95 from CSKA Sofia. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 19%, against 62%, 22% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Panathinaikos (green) and CSKA Sofia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panathinaikos | WWWWW | 2.30 | 0.50 | 40% | 50% |
| CSKA Sofia | DWDWL | 2.10 | 1.00 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| Panathinaikos Win | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Panathinaikos form and statistics
- CSKA Sofia form and statistics
- UEFA Europa Conference League statistics
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Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.40 - KuPS vs Gent · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa Conference League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33