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FA Cup · England
Bury vs Harrogate Town prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Bury host Harrogate Town in the FA Cup (England) on 17 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Bury 1–1 Harrogate Town.
Going into the match, Bury had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 33 and conceding 11. Harrogate Town had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Bury's last 10 and 6 of Harrogate Town's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Bury averaged 3.46 goals scored and 0.77 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Harrogate Town averaged 1.55 scored and 1.09 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.74 goals from Bury and 1.61 from Harrogate Town. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 35%, against 26%, 24% and 49% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Bury (green) and Harrogate Town (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bury | WLWDW | 3.30 | 1.10 | 50% | 80% |
| Harrogate Town | WWWWL | 1.90 | 1.20 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.23 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.27 |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.59 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Harrogate Town Win | 50% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other FA Cup matches that day
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds vs Morecambe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1 - Altrincham vs United of Manchester · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Barrow vs Gloucester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Barrow Win @ 1.42 · FT 0–0 - Boreham Wood vs Woking · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Boreham Wood Win @ 1.45 - Boston United vs Scunthorpe · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.57 · FT 1–3 - Carlisle vs Tamworth · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Chesham United vs Forest Green · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Chorley vs Worcester City · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 · FT 1–1 - Dover vs Dorking Wanderers · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Eastleigh vs Brentwood Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.50 - FC Halifax Town vs South Shields · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.49 · FT 3–2 - Harborough Town vs Spennymoor Town · 17 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · FA Cup
Published pick: Harborough Town Win @ 1.67