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Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Universitatea Craiova host Getafe in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 15 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Universitatea Craiova 1–1 Getafe.
Going into the match, Universitatea Craiova had won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 6. Getafe had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Universitatea Craiova's last 10 and 4 of Getafe's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Universitatea Craiova averaged 2.50 goals scored and 0.75 conceded across 16 matches; away from home Getafe averaged 0.43 scored and 1.36 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.71 goals from Universitatea Craiova and 0.53 from Getafe. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 10%, against 29%, 29% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Universitatea Craiova (green) and Getafe (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitatea Craiova | WWWWW | 1.90 | 0.60 | 50% | 40% |
| Getafe | LWLDD | 0.80 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
- Universitatea Craiova form and statistics
- Getafe form and statistics
- UEFA Europa Conference League statistics
Other UEFA Europa Conference League matches that day
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Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.53 · FT 2–1