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Lincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split prediction and preview

5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · Europa Point Stadium

The PunterPick prediction

HNK Hajduk Split WinOdds 1.36Market probability 68%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Lincoln Red Imps FC host HNK Hajduk Split in the UEFA Europa Conference League (International) on 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is HNK Hajduk Split Win — HNK Hajduk Split to win. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, Lincoln Red Imps FC had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 8. HNK Hajduk Split had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of Lincoln Red Imps FC's last 10 and 3 of HNK Hajduk Split's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Lincoln Red Imps FC averaged 2.09 goals scored and 0.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home HNK Hajduk Split averaged 1.59 scored and 1.24 conceded across 17.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.01 goals from Lincoln Red Imps FC and 1.54 from HNK Hajduk Split. From that it rates a home win at 24%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 48%, against 11%, 20% and 69% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 48%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Lincoln Red Imps FC (green) and HNK Hajduk Split (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form19% – 81%
Attack29% – 71%
Defence38% – 62%
Overall strength22% – 77%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Lincoln Red Imps FCWWLWL2.300.8040%60%
HNK Hajduk SplitWDWWW2.000.7030%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Over 1.5 Goals77%1.22
HNK Hajduk Split Win72%1.36
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals72%1.30
Under 3.5 Goals66%1.44
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals63%1.50
Over 8.5 Corners56%1.67
Over 2.5 Goals55%1.70
BTTS No54%1.73

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

More on this match

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