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J1 League · Japan
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Yokohama F. Marinos host Tokyo Verdy in the J1 League (Japan) on 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Yokohama F. Marinos 2–2 Tokyo Verdy.
Going into the match, Yokohama F. Marinos had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 8. Tokyo Verdy had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 4 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Yokohama F. Marinos's last 10 and 3 of Tokyo Verdy's last 10; 4 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Yokohama F. Marinos averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.13 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Tokyo Verdy averaged 0.58 scored and 0.75 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.56 goals from Yokohama F. Marinos and 0.61 from Tokyo Verdy. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 13%, against 51%, 27% and 22% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Yokohama F. Marinos (green) and Tokyo Verdy (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama F. Marinos | DWDWW | 1.40 | 0.80 | 60% | 40% |
| Tokyo Verdy | LLDDL | 0.40 | 1.50 | 30% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 May 2026 · Tokyo Verdy 0–6 Yokohama F. Marinos
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 78% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Yokohama F. Marinos Win | 50% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- Urawa vs JEF United Chiba · 21 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Urawa Win @ 1.67 · FT 3–2 - Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 1–2 - FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–0 - Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 2–2 - Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 2–0 - Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 0–5 - V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win @ 1.50 · FT 4–0