Home › League stats › J1 League › Urawa vs JEF United Chiba
J1 League · Japan
Urawa vs JEF United Chiba prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Urawa host JEF United Chiba in the J1 League (Japan) on 21 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Urawa Win — Urawa to win. It was published at odds of 1.67, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Urawa 3–2 JEF United Chiba.
Going into the match, Urawa had won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 14. JEF United Chiba had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Urawa's last 10 and 6 of JEF United Chiba's last 10; 8 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Urawa averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1.36 conceded across 14 matches; away from home JEF United Chiba averaged 1.14 scored and 2.00 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.30 goals from Urawa and 1.11 from JEF United Chiba. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 16%, against 56%, 25% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Urawa (green) and JEF United Chiba (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Urawa | WWLWW | 2.20 | 1.40 | 60% | 80% |
| JEF United Chiba | DDLLL | 1.20 | 1.50 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · Urawa 2–0 JEF United Chiba
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 74% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Urawa Win | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 1–2 - FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–0 - Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 2–2 - Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 2–0 - Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 0–5 - V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win @ 1.50 · FT 4–0 - Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 2–2