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J1 League · Japan
Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Kyoto Sanga host Kashima in the J1 League (Japan) on 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Kyoto Sanga 2–2 Kashima.
Going into the match, Kyoto Sanga had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 12. Kashima had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Kyoto Sanga's last 10 and 5 of Kashima's last 10; 3 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Kyoto Sanga averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.86 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Kashima averaged 1.67 scored and 1.67 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Kyoto Sanga and 2.00 from Kashima. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 60%, against 25%, 26% and 48% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 55%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Kyoto Sanga (green) and Kashima (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyoto Sanga | LWLDW | 0.70 | 1.20 | 30% | 30% |
| Kashima | WWWWD | 2.30 | 1.20 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance X2 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- Urawa vs JEF United Chiba · 21 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Urawa Win @ 1.67 · FT 3–2 - Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 1–2 - FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–0 - Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 2–0 - Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 0–5 - V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win @ 1.50 · FT 4–0 - Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 2–2