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J1 League · Japan
Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Avispa Fukuoka host Gamba Osaka in the J1 League (Japan) on 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.70, which the bookmaker market rated at about 54% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Gamba Osaka.
Going into the match, Avispa Fukuoka had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 16. Gamba Osaka had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Avispa Fukuoka's last 10 and 5 of Gamba Osaka's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Avispa Fukuoka averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Gamba Osaka averaged 1.79 scored and 1.37 conceded across 19.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.98 goals from Avispa Fukuoka and 1.81 from Gamba Osaka. From that it rates a home win at 19%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 56%, against 36%, 29% and 35% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Avispa Fukuoka (green) and Gamba Osaka (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avispa Fukuoka | LLWLD | 0.80 | 1.60 | 60% | 50% |
| Gamba Osaka | DWLDW | 1.90 | 1.60 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 22 Apr 2026 · Gamba Osaka 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.70 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- Urawa vs JEF United Chiba · 21 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Urawa Win @ 1.67 · FT 3–2 - FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 · FT 0–0 - Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 2–2 - Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 2–0 - Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 0–5 - V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win @ 1.50 · FT 4–0 - Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 2–2