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J1 League · Japan
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol prediction and preview
21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Tokyo host Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League (Japan) on 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Tokyo 0–0 Kashiwa Reysol.
Going into the match, FC Tokyo had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 2. Kashiwa Reysol had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of FC Tokyo's last 10 and 7 of Kashiwa Reysol's last 10; 4 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Tokyo averaged 2.21 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Kashiwa Reysol averaged 1.58 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.85 goals from FC Tokyo and 1.12 from Kashiwa Reysol. From that it rates a home win at 53%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 22%, against 45%, 27% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Tokyo (green) and Kashiwa Reysol (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Tokyo | WLWWW | 2.20 | 0.20 | 10% | 40% |
| Kashiwa Reysol | LWWDW | 2.50 | 1.90 | 70% | 80% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 29 Apr 2026 · Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 FC Tokyo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.75 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other J1 League matches that day
- Urawa vs JEF United Chiba · 21 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Urawa Win @ 1.67 · FT 3–2 - Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 1–2 - Kawasaki Frontale vs Vissel Kobe · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.50 · FT 2–1 - Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.70 · FT 2–2 - Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 · FT 1–1 - Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.30 · FT 2–0 - Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 0–5 - V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win @ 1.50 · FT 4–0 - Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy · 21 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · J1 League
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36 · FT 2–2