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UEFA Europa League · International
Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia prediction and preview
5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Torreense host Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa League (International) on 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 74% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Torreense had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Ararat-Armenia had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Torreense's last 10 and 6 of Ararat-Armenia's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Torreense averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.82 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Ararat-Armenia averaged 1.81 scored and 1.25 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.33 goals from Torreense and 1.08 from Ararat-Armenia. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 29%, against 54%, 25% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 78%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Torreense (green) and Ararat-Armenia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torreense | DWLLL | 0.90 | 1.30 | 40% | 50% |
| Ararat-Armenia | WDWLW | 1.70 | 1.50 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 74% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| Torreense Win | 54% | 1.75 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa League matches that day
- AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
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Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.80 - Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
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Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 - Sturm Graz vs Celje · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Sunderland Win @ 1.48 - AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: AC Milan Win @ 1.33 - Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40