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UEFA Europa League · International
AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC prediction and preview
5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
AC Milan host Ferencvarosi TC in the UEFA Europa League (International) on 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is AC Milan Win — AC Milan to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, AC Milan had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 15. Ferencvarosi TC had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 30 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of AC Milan's last 10 and 7 of Ferencvarosi TC's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home AC Milan averaged 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Ferencvarosi TC averaged 2.33 scored and 0.87 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from AC Milan and 1.51 from Ferencvarosi TC. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 47%, against 71%, 16% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 25%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between AC Milan (green) and Ferencvarosi TC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | WLWLW | 2.00 | 1.50 | 50% | 70% |
| Ferencvarosi TC | WWWWD | 3.00 | 0.70 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| AC Milan Win | 74% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| AC Milan HT & FT | 53% | 1.83 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.91 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa League matches that day
- AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
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Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.80 - Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
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Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 - Sturm Graz vs Celje · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Sunderland Win @ 1.48 - Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40