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Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction and preview
5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · Stadium of Light, Sunderland
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Sunderland host Dinamo Zagreb in the UEFA Europa League (International) on 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Sunderland Win — Sunderland to win. It was published at odds of 1.48, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Sunderland had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 18. Dinamo Zagreb had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Sunderland's last 10 and 6 of Dinamo Zagreb's last 10; 4 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Sunderland averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Dinamo Zagreb averaged 2.63 scored and 1.06 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Sunderland and 1.34 from Dinamo Zagreb. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 36%, against 64%, 20% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 35%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Sunderland (green) and Dinamo Zagreb (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland | LWDDL | 1.10 | 1.80 | 50% | 40% |
| Dinamo Zagreb | LWLWW | 2.00 | 1.50 | 60% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 78% | 1.20 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Sunderland Win | 66% | 1.48 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other UEFA Europa League matches that day
- AZ Alkmaar vs Juventus · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40 - Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Bayer Leverkusen Win @ 1.36 - Benfica vs Lech Poznan · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: BTTS No @ 1.80 - Celta Vigo vs Union St. Gilloise · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Celtic vs Beşiktaş · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.67 - Sturm Graz vs Celje · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.57 - Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia · 5 Nov 2026, 20:00 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.30 - AC Milan vs Ferencvarosi TC · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: AC Milan Win @ 1.33 - Anderlecht vs Red Bull Salzburg · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.62 - Crystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: BTTS Yes @ 1.50 - Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia · 5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC · UEFA Europa League
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.40